Friday, June 5, 2020

To tame or cane the dragon, is the question!!


Now that it is anything but secret that the destroyer in chief of the old normal sprang from the wet market of Wuhan or from a lab therein, the indignation of the world is all over China. Be that as it may, what do we Indians do? Join the party, spoil the party or for a change use the famed Indian brain?



Even while I write this a bunch of us would have uninstalled Chinese Apps and retweeted “Boycott China”. Believe me that would be water off the ducks back for China. First of all, India has a unique geo-political standing with China as against the world. While a distant country can cancel flights and do eyeball to eyeball confrontation with China and play the waiting game, India hath not an easy option for the maker did not give us a choice of neighborhood.



Let’s wink a while and bend a little to understand a little bit more about this chalk and cheese combination of Asia. To begin with India, China and history are incomplete without one another. We share not only a 1700 km long border with China but also a minimum of 2500 years of history.



Many official communications from China refer to Indian aspects as Yìn dù jiào. It’s no coincidence that the phonetic is loaded with the character of the land and if that hits the raw nerves of communists and secular worrywarts, I would tell them “verily ask thy master, why did you make us sing knowing it was farce”



In all those thousands of years not a sword crossed between the two countries while Europe kept burning year after year, remember Winter War, Ottaman wars, et el.

Indo-Chinese relations on the other hand had become so deific that we had started exchanging Gods and Godmen. Few of my Tamil chums would know that a certain Boyang from China is a household seer held in high esteem. Or was I expecting a little too much from my fellow domiciles?? Anyway, I am not giving away the suspense here. You know where to reach!!



Beginning 1959, tensions between the two countries kept escalating and culminated in the rather gruesome 1962 war over a disputed Himalayan border, inter alia. Shock and Awe? No. Certainly not in the fact that the Chinese are cold blooded, inscrutable and expansionist. The designs were in plain sight. Not for the then PM and Defense Minister, V.K Krishna Menon.



The incredible foreign policy in vogue said peaceful co-existence and non-intervention with affairs of other countries. Trusting that the neighbors would translate this into Urdu, Chinese, Burmese, Russian etc and proclaim the same. Travesty of politics also known as Panchsheel.



The calamity didn’t stop there either. A foreign policy as catastrophic as this led to a defense policy of disarmament and many ordnance factories converting into cottage industries.



The Shanti Parva in Mahabharata has that King Yudhistra proclaimed the same foreign policy but sent the strongest of his brothers Bhima and Arjuna to safeguard the borders as his defense policy after his coronation. Difference between a PM, Indian by birth and foreign by thought vs a king who was Indian in sum and substance



By the time the writing became clear on the wall, the then PM went on AIR bidding goodbye to his brethren in Assam and started writing letters to USA, USSR and “to whomsoever it may concern”

Now these are lessons on how not to deal with China. The Chinese are masters in treachery and our fait accompli next door. Their supremacy in this region is going to stand for time to come, unfettered, unaltered and without a rival.



Anybody with dreams of the USA pulling back from China can go back to sleep. While investing in China, the USA had grand plans of making an ingress into accessing the cheap labor there but did not plan an egress on need and squarely failed in it.



Much of the US economy runs on the semi processed goods that gets further processed and completed in China before being shipped back. If the “much” lacked the punch, here it is, $560 billion worth of goods as of 2018. That’s a whooping 21% of all imports. How on earth is the US going to replace this and with which country?

For all that I wish, the bravado of substituting with India is not realism given the inferior infrastructure and a bureaucracy as unpalatable as it can get.



Howsoever baffling the quagmire might look, it is not without a solution.



To begin with, India must match China missile for missile, arsenal for arsenal and submarine for submarine in her weaponry. National Security can reckon no compromise and only the mighty are called for the negotiation table, others become menu on the same table.



The foreign policy can be turned to assuage China that India would not side with an adversary of China and partake in an attack on her soil unless there arises a need to protect the sovereign interests of India. In other words, we care a damn what you do with Taiwan and you stay off our borders but yes in whereby thereby diplomatic language.



This will more or less keep China away from Pakistan and if required the Vietnam card can always be played against them saying, if you can groom a bunch of hooligans to hurt us imagine what damage can we cause turning the Vietnamese against you. Surreal it may sound, but possible all the same, if we straighten our backbones and get the ilk of Panchsheel out of our minds.



Transparency, firmness and a neutral posture during their adversity will tame this dragon!!

32 comments:

  1. China is an infinite player , India is a finite player , this is Game Theory . The infinite player always has the odds in his favour .

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  2. Pretty insightful, good job ram. In my humble opinion, I just felt that there were too many jargons in the article and you could have used basic vocabulary. Not sure if I will be able to remember the words I googled while reading this blog. Please make this more for the masses, do give it a thought. Thanks and keep writing!

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  3. So cryptic yet so loaded. Thanks Shravan!!!

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  4. Very well written!

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  5. Thanks Ram, got some knowledge to connect the dots on current situation.
    While I read through it felt like playing a word hunt game...

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  6. Dragon is 50 yrs ahead of us man so chance of caning or taming it..only option is to collapse under it's own weight or implode it

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  7. Good articulation Ram. Just couple of points;
    1. Use of simple words for better readability
    2. Instead of using energy in taming somebody, we can just focus on keeping n close watch n drawing a bigger line in terms of capability building. Rest will be history.

    Cheers,
    Vikash

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    1. Your comments are a breath of fresh air. Thanks much Vikash

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  8. Communism has the legacy of dragging down all it's adopters. USSR, NK, Cuba. Centralization and opression of the state will take a toll some day. Krishna.

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    1. Make a note Krishna that China and communism are no more synonyms. China is a plain autocratic state run on capitalist principles.There is probably more communism in JNU than whole of PRC

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  9. 1)Why Mexican-American war is listed under Europe. Winter war is correct but not the war of 1912/MA War 2)You could have mentioned McMohan line - between India and China and made a dab at other Mohan����‍♂️
    3)I felt the article touched upon far too many areas(may not be appealing for the target audience) and you could have broken into 2-3 articles
    4) Vietnam related isn’t factually correct IMHO. Uncle Sam has lots of vested interests and even some companies are moving there now after showing middle finger to Wuhan
    5) As one of the comments hit the nail on the head, regardless of the issue what is 56inch and Charlatans doing to bring back business. This is a fantastic opportunity to explore and if paper tiger doesn’t care about the opinion of the sheep , it’s fine ��
    Pls do move forward with Medium, an app to reach larger audience

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    1. I am floored by the response Bharani. All facts verified. Feedbacks taken in all grace. Will respond on watsapp bro, I'll have to write a blog in response!!!

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    2. All folks who have had to comment 2nd time in two weeks, blame this person!! My mentor in creative writing!!!

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  10. Good article by the author Mr.Ram. He clearly describes how India can not follow the Trumphant leader in dealing with the neighbour. Probably the mind boggling level of expenditure on defence by these two states with the top of the order population could be saved and put into better use to improve GDP

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    1. Thanks Nagarajan uncle. When elders like you take time to comment I feel humbled and blessed!!

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  11. You may delete china apps but foreign policy needs to be tightened so much that import from china becomes unviable. Will it be possible for India to survive is the question to be aksed

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  12. A very good article Ram. Keep us up-to-date on such important topics by sharing insights via your blogs

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  13. Ram, Great writing skills or should I say Blogging Skills.
    Every crisis creates opportunities
    Certainly, there are a lot of Business opportunities that we can grab from the Dragons Mouth. The question is whether we can fill that Gap.

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  14. Absolutely !! Pity if we miss the bus again!!

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  15. Very insightful blog Ram.We need to tame the dragon with a cane.Be very stringent when it comes to national security but cover it with diplomacy. ...Deepa kashyapa!

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  16. This comment can belong to only person...if it's no nonsense hard on the face solution it has to be from Deepa...Thank you!!!

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  17. Very well written, Ram!

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